Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.976249 2.072334 2.174454 2.291779 2.423776 2.568832 2.741926
2025-07-13 1.885294 2.012259 2.152738 2.321736 2.522458 2.757325 3.059616
2025-07-20 1.839248 1.990465 2.163241 2.379219 2.648223 2.981928 3.445356
2025-07-27 1.776178 1.941050 2.133810 2.381713 2.702016 3.118692 3.737009
2025-08-03 1.724492 1.899911 2.109011 2.384616 2.752581 3.252995 4.046296
2025-08-10 1.652419 1.829249 2.042480 2.327757 2.716509 3.260581 4.162827
2025-08-17 1.607488 1.789044 2.010828 2.312651 2.733873 3.344061 4.415075
2025-08-24 1.568709 1.754217 1.983485 2.300379 2.752583 3.429754 4.688989
2025-08-31 1.535162 1.724187 1.960314 2.291462 2.774123 3.520867 4.995329
2025-09-07 1.513818 1.708424 1.954441 2.305172 2.829060 3.671830 5.468225
2025-09-14 1.463958 1.654262 1.895606 2.241197 2.760866 3.606003 5.448210
2025-09-21 1.440134 1.632862 1.879356 2.236533 2.783470 3.700197 5.831790
2025-09-28 1.401630 1.592197 1.837081 2.194300 2.746996 3.689820 5.970563
2025-10-05 1.391261 1.587784 1.843296 2.222319 2.824486 3.900398 6.811030
2025-10-12 1.390051 1.595159 1.865589 2.274995 2.947306 4.223872 8.307007
2025-10-19 1.372126 1.579537 1.855208 2.277531 2.984898 4.380106 9.412999
2025-10-26 1.355381 1.564900 1.845505 2.280324 3.022851 4.545044 10.849752
2025-11-02 1.322314 1.527329 1.802182 2.228745 2.959101 4.464411 10.830275
2025-11-09 1.302678 1.507526 1.783514 2.215044 2.963471 4.547577 12.022777
2025-11-16 1.284812 1.489661 1.767004 2.203895 2.971537 4.641695 13.596519
2025-11-23 1.268727 1.473817 1.752862 2.195784 2.984535 4.751425 15.821535
2025-11-30 1.259582 1.467197 1.751698 2.208287 3.037629 4.980061 21.383948
2025-12-07 1.230109 1.431928 1.708015 2.149925 2.948760 4.799321 19.190175